Grand Canyon Times

Former President Donald Trump ( R) leads President Biden (D) by four points among Arizona voters in the 2024 race for the White House.

That’s according to a poll of Arizona voters released today by the League of American Workers (LAW).

Trump leads Biden 46 to 42 percent in a two-way race, and is ahead of Biden 37 to 33 percent in a four-way race in which Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I), who is at 18 percent, and Cornell West (G), who is at 2 percent, are on the ballot.

Biden and Trump both won enough state primaries last week to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties, setting up a rematch of the 2020 election, in which Biden won by receiving 302 electoral votes. Neither candidate received more than 50% of the vote in Arizona in 2020, with Biden receiving 49.36% of the vote to Trump's 49.06%.

Almost four years later, 59 percent of Arizona voters disapprove of the job Biden is doing on the economy, according to the LAW poll results. Those results are almost identical to the president’s 60 percent disapproval rating in LAW’s November 2023 Arizona poll. 

The poll also found that 53 percent of voters say they “were better off financially" when Trump was president. 

These results come as the Phoenix metropolitan area had its "36th consecutive month of inflation above the standard target of 2.0% annually" in February 2024, reported the Common Sense Institute. The institute also reported that, since 2020, "Phoenix households would have had to spend $31,341 more over the past 3 years to buy the same things."

A February 2024 analysis by the Grand Canyon Times found that the cost of cereal at Fry's Food Stores in Arizona has increased 303% since 2020, outpacing the supposed 2.7% inflation rate for food last year, as reported the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Times analysis tracked additional price increases over the government-reported inflation rate for items such as ground beef, potatoes, breakfast sausage, and ice cream.

The survey released by LAW was conducted among 600 likely Arizona voters on March 14-17, 2024 by North Star Public Opinion Research. 

Founded in 2022 by political strategist and commentator Steve Cortes, LAW conducts research and develops proposals on public policies impacting American workers and the economy.